Australia's adversarial China policy
Australia Treasurer Josh Frydenberg reacts during Question Time in the House of Representatives at Parliament House in Canberra, Australia, June 22, 2021. /Getty
Editor's note: Daryl Guppy is an international financial technical analysis expert. He has provided weekly Shanghai Index analysis for Chinese mainland media for more than a decade. Guppy appears regularly on CNBC Asia and is known as "The Chart Man." He is a national board member of the Australia China Business Council. The article reflects the author's opinions and not necessarily the views of CGTN.
On September 6, Australian Treasurer Josh Frydenberg gave a speech to urge his nation of firm stance against China with the background celebrating 70 years of the Australia, New Zealand and the United States (ANZUS) defense treaty between the three countries. Australia has been somewhat desperate to show how good a friend it has been to the United States, even if the United States has not always reciprocated in full.
Frydenberg used the state of the Australian economy as evidence that Australia had successfully withstood the impacts of Chinese trade restrictions. It's certainly true that some Australian industries have been able to find substitute markets for those lost in China. It's equally true that many businesses have not been able to find substitutes.
In his rush to highlight Australia's economic resilience, Frydenberg neglected to mention how the United States – the good friend ANZUS partner – has quickly stepped into the void left by Australian industries in China. U.S. beef exports were an almost perfect replacement for the tonnage lost by Australia due to trade restrictions.
The idea of standing shoulder to shoulder with our best friends doesn't seem to have the same cachet in the United States.
Frydenberg used this leadership address as an opportunity to berate China and highlight how China's combination of economic strength and global integration "poses new and significant challenges for many countries." He said Australia is "on the frontline" of growing strategic competition between China and the U.S. He describes China as "more confident and assertive" and called this "a defining feature of the economic and security landscape we face."
Despite a government wish that this view represents a united Australian front, it is a view that does not enjoy unqualified support from business or from those who are attuned to a more nuanced view of the change that is taking place in the region.
Just days prior to Frydenberg's speech former Prime Minister Paul Keating said "the Morrison government is wantonly leading Australia into a strategic dead end by its needless provocations against China."
A Chinese national flag flies outside the Chinese Embassy in Canberra, Australia, May 10, 2021. /Getty
David Olsson, president of Australia's peak China business body, the Australia China Business Council said, "We encourage China to focus on the complementarities of the relationship and view the relationship as one of opportunity, rather than threat or uncertainty."
Stoked by a mixture of attitudes derived from U.S. bible-belt fanaticism, a well-coordinated campaign of foreign influence through think tanks funded by the U.S. and the UK arms manufacturers and the mistaken idea that China is an expansionist state like the old Soviet Union, the Australian government has become hostage to a particular brand of reworked imperialism.
In June, Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison encouraged European naval fleets to visit the South China Sea in a dangerous exercise of saber rattling. Morrison expected China to obey the decisions and rules adopted by the G7.
It's a body of thought that is astounded that China has the temerity to challenge the primacy of the United States and to even suggest that China should play an increased role in setting the rules that form the basis of the global order.
It's a body of thought that seeks to deny China's place in the world and to condemn as unacceptable Chinese aspirations for improved living standards.
Keating said, "China's great problem is that it is now a state as large as the United States, and with the potential of being much larger – an unforgivable sin for American triumphalist."
Until recently, Australian business has largely kept quiet about their increasing concerns around the ramped up rhetoric in the hope that it would prove to be a passing phase. Business leaders and others have become increasingly concerned about the impact of this approach not only on Australia's trade with China, but Australia's relationship with the region.
Treasurer Frydenberg suggests Australia can benefit from a China plus strategy. It's a sound approach for any trade-dependent economy but it does not have to rest on the vilification of China. That's a message that he hopes will play well to Australia's U.S. friends but it does little to assist with engagement with China. Just as importantly, this China-bashing does not sit well with Australia's other trade partners in the region. They generally have a far more complex relationship and sophisticated understanding about China and their trade with China.
Frydenberg's attitude and comments are designed to curry favor with the United States. They reflect a wishful economic thinking where the true economic impact of Australia's poor relations with China have been masked by Australia's fairy-tale COVID-19 economic resilience, supported ironically, by Chinese demand for iron ore and coal.
(If you want to contribute and have specific expertise, please contact us at opinions@cgtn.com.)
相关阅读
-
澳洲学者:美国说什么“强化供应链”,到头来还是为打压中国
近日,“印太经济框架” (IPEF) 下的供应链协议生效。事实上,IPEF是美国对华战略竞争的地缘政治工具,它利用其他成员国寻求供应链多元化的本意,完全以美国自身利益和战略目标为出发点,旨在围堵、遏制中国经济。
-
澳专家:G7广岛峰会嘴上说的都是“秩序”,心里想的都是“霸权”
今年七国集团 (G7) 峰会在日本广岛举办,首要议程仍是维护霸权秩序。广岛是第一个遭到核武器袭击摧毁的城市,这一会议地点和G7不断变化的关注焦点相结合,讽刺意味浓烈。G7的成立主要是为了促进共同的宏观经济倡议,以应对当代经济问题,但现在它正蓄势发起经济战。
-
China stock market opportunity
Daryl Guppy is an international financial technical analysis expert. He has provided weekly Shanghai Index analysis for Chinese mainland media for more than a decade. Guppy appears regularly on CNBC Asia and is known as "The Chart Man." He is a national board member of the Australia China Business Council. The article reflects the author's opinions and not necessarily the views of CGTN.
-
G7 blue dots or BRI red spots?
Editor's note: Daryl Guppy is an international financial technical analysis expert. He has provided weekly Shanghai Index analysis for Chinese mainland media for more than a decade.
-
Australia on a 'mission to provoke imperial resurrection'
Daryl Guppy is an international financial technical analysis expert. He has provided weekly Shanghai Index analysis for Chinese mainland media for more than a decade.
-
Australia pines for the past
Editor's note: Daryl Guppy is an international financial technical analysis expert and special consultant to AxiCorp. He has provided weekly Shanghai Index analysis for media for the Chinese mainland for more than a decade. Guppy appears regularly on CNBC Asia and is known as "The Chart Man." He is a national board member of the Australia China Business Council. The article reflects the author's opinions and not necessarily the views of CGTN.
-
Essential concepts to embrace and discard to understand China
Editor's note: Daryl Guppy is an international financial technical analysis expert. He has provided weekly Shanghai Index analysis for media for the Chinese mainland for more than a decade. Guppy appears regularly on CNBC Asia and is known as "The Chart Man." He is a national board member of the Australia China Business Council. The article reflects the author's opinions, and not necessarily the views of CGTN.
-
The ghost of weapons for mass deception
Editor's note: Daryl Guppy is an international financial technical analysis expert. He has provided weekly Shanghai Index analysis for Chinese mainland media for more than a decade.
免责声明:本网所发所有文章,包括本网原创、编译及转发的第三方稿件及评论,均不构成任何投资建议,交易操作或投资决定请询问专业人士。
热门点击
-
- 习近平出席亚太经合组织第三十一次领导人非正式会议并发表重要讲话
-
- 【11.18】今日财经时讯及重要市场资讯
-
- 【G20观察】:阿尔巴尼斯总理今日出席G20峰会并将和习近平主席会晤 誓言捍卫开放经济和贸易自由化 (更新)
-
- ASX200指数今日创出历史新高 跃上8400点 尾盘冲高后回落 摩根士丹利预测明年目标8500点
-
- 【11.19】今日财经时讯及重要市场资讯
-
- 紫金矿业参股Xanadu Mines Ltd(ASX:XAM)蒙古国铜金矿项目PFS发布在即 公司董事长近期表示项目价值被二级市场“打折”定价(更新)
-
- 澳洲前两大养老基金吸收全澳一半以上新增退休储蓄
-
- 【11.20】今日财经时讯及重要市场资讯
-
- 【异动股】Noviqtech (ASX:NVQ)暴涨180%:知名加密币技术投资人Tony G战略入股
-
- 澳大利亚商务及旅游部部长法瑞尔 :“中国依然是我们最大的贸易伙伴 在可预见的未来仍将如此”
-
- 【异动股】Rectifier Technologies(ASX:RFT) 飙升33%:电动汽车充电模块市场迎复苏
-
- 2024年澳洲百强会计师事务所榜单出炉 德勤高居榜首
-
- 澳储行公布货币政策会议纪要 明年初降息的可能性基本排除
-
- 澳股创出新高后回落整理 澳洲人工智能公司Appen Ltd (ASX:APX)周三股价大幅下挫 单日放量跌幅逾一成
-
- 中国商务部部长王文涛:历史和现实纽带将中澳两国紧密相连 中国将与包括澳大利亚在内的世界各国共享发展机遇与红利 (更新)