CMC Markets专栏：美日潜在技术下行形态‏

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2015-09-11 14:18:34 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary

自从日本首相安倍晋三2012年实行安倍经济学，推出一系列刺激经济政策以后，日元汇率开始加速贬值，时至今日美元对日元仍居高位在120以上运行。但近日由于受美元逐步走弱趋势影响，美日技术形态上也出现筑顶下行形态，有可能再次试探116.30附近。

美元/日元月线图

从美元/日元月线图上看，连续三个月在125.50附近受阻下行，特别是8月份出现大幅度回调，最低触及116.30附近。随即震荡指标MACD，Stochastic 均在炒买区域多时，并且出现潜在的死叉空头信号，美日有继续下行的可能，下方潜在支持位置可看8月份低点116.30附近（黄金分割线38.2%）。

美元/日元日线图

而短期技术形态上，美日在三角区域内整理，目前保利加通道中轨位置受阻，并且昨日收类似十字星的形态，在日内很可能再次受阻下行，空头潜在目标为119.60（黄金分割线38.2%），然后是118.30附近（黄金分割线118.30）。

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