CMC Markets专栏: 美日潜在筑顶中‏

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2015-09-28 16:09:51 来源：CMC Markets 编辑：Mary 文章类型：转载

自本月美联储会议上保持其基准利息率不变后，投资者更加对全球经济形势警惕，美国股市与美元逐步形成继续下行态势。大环境影响下，两大其它避险性货币欧元、日元相对于美元逐步走强。欧元技术形态已经在上周讲述，在这里我们对美日的技术形态进行探讨。美日形态上看有望继续呈压下行，下放潜在的空头目标可能在8月份低点115.70附近。

美日日线图上看已经在三角整理的区间运行多时，此时再次在三角区域顶部受阻，有望继续整理下行，短期内下方潜在目标为119.60附近，而119.60-120.70也可能是美日短期整理的区间。在三角整理的尖端很可能出现选择方向的突破行情。

而从月线图上来看，美日连续三个月在顶部125.20-125.80的区间受阻，尤其在8月份有明显大幅回落，虽然随即有反弹迹象，但形态上仍然显示上方121.40附近的阻力较强，有受压下行的形态。随即震荡指标MACD与Stoch均在超买区域有潜在的死叉空头信号出现。美元/日元在近两个月内再次试探8月低点115.70附近的可能性。

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